Is Brazil’s tire import market, and especially its Truck & Bus segment, worth a closer look?
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Data point
Fact · sourcedThe signal +35.1% Value of new-tire imports: USD 1.35 billion in January–July 2026, compared with the same period in 2025.
The composition +84.3% Import value of the Truck & Bus segment, which now accounts for 39.0% of the total (+10.4 points).
Where the increase comes from · USD millions
- More tires imported
- +350.5
- Mix shift toward higher-value segments
- +192.8
- Lower declared value per tire
- −193.8
- Net growth
- +349.5
Source: MDIC/SECEX, Comex Stat. January–July 2026 vs. January–July 2025.
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Interpretation
Inference · hypothesisHeadline growth is only the starting point: it comes mainly from more units, not from higher value per tire. The Truck & Bus signal is stronger than the aggregate.
Working hypothesis: Truck & Bus, especially commercial-vehicle tires, is the first area worth researching. The market as a whole is too broad for an entry conclusion.
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Uncertainty
Unknown · to validate- Which sub-categories and tire sizes drive Truck & Bus growth, and from which origins.
- Which certifications, duties, taxes and trade measures apply to a specific product and origin.
- Price points and landed cost.
- Whether the increase reflects sustainable replacement demand or temporary inventory or sourcing effects.
- Which distributors would consider a new supplier.
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Next decision
Next investigationBreak down Truck & Bus growth by NCM sub-heading, tire size, origin and channel.
Then: map access requirements for the exact product and origin, estimate landed cost and identify distributors or importers with the appetite and reach for a new brand.